Belgian Pro League · 2025Het Kuipje

KVC Westerlo 2–0 RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KVC Westerlo won 2–0.

Shots
157
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
2.251.24
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

KVC Westerlo beat Charleroi 2–0. Recorded in this match (KVC Westerlo – Charleroi): shots 15–7, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 2.25–1.24, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Charleroi's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Charleroi's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.42 corners/matchCornersKVC Westerlo · Charleroi● 5.91 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricKVC WesterloCharleroiBaseline
Corners5.42 corners/match5.91 corners/match4.91 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots7 shotsKVC Westerlo 15 shots, RC Sporting Charleroi 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsKVC Westerlo 5 shots, RC Sporting Charleroi 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.25 xG1.24 xGKVC Westerlo 2.25 xG, RC Sporting Charleroi 1.24 xG
  • Possession53%47%KVC Westerlo 53%, RC Sporting Charleroi 47%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersKVC Westerlo 5 corners, RC Sporting Charleroi 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls14 foulsKVC Westerlo 10 fouls, RC Sporting Charleroi 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsKVC Westerlo 2 cards, RC Sporting Charleroi 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Parfait Guiagon · Charleroi · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAiham Ousou · Charleroi · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsa Sakamoto · KVC Westerlo · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDoğucan Haspolat · KVC Westerlo · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedShunsuke Saito · KVC Westerlo · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 79′ · 0.04 xG · goalAntoine Bernier · Charleroi · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThomas Van den Keybus · KVC Westerlo · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetEmin Bayram · KVC Westerlo · 31′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 31′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 28′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Pflücke · Charleroi · 46′ · 0.10 xG · on targetBryan Reynolds · KVC Westerlo · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRoman Neustädter · KVC Westerlo · 51′ · 0.15 xG · on targetParfait Guiagon · Charleroi · 12′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 74′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 51′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 30′ · 0.29 xG · on targetJakob Napoleon Romsaas · Charleroi · 74′ · 0.35 xG · on targetMardochee Nzita · Charleroi · 19′ · 0.58 xG · on targetEmin Bayram · KVC Westerlo · 34′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

KVC Westerlo: 15 shots, 5 on target, 2.25 xG. Charleroi: 7 shots, 4 on target, 1.26 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Emin Bayram · KVC Westerlo · 34′Nacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: KVC Westerlo 2.25 xG · Charleroi 1.26 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1KVC Westerlo
1Draws
3RC Sporting Charleroi
KVC Westerlo — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League2–1
RC Sporting Charleroi — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League2–0
RC Sporting Charleroi — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League4–3
KVC Westerlo — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League2–2
KVC Westerlo — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KVC Westerlo favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · RC Sporting Charleroi in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KVC Westerlo33 matchesRC Sporting Charleroi33 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored33/331.3 goals/match
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.42 goals/match
1.49 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/311.25 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots33/3313.2 shots/match
4.55 shots/matchShots on target33/334.42 shots/match
49.6%Possession33/33● 49.8%
5.42 corners/matchCorners33/33● 5.91 corners/match
1.83 cards/matchCards29/292.21 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls33/3311.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

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