Super League · 2026

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang vs Beijing Guoan · Super League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.271.88
Expected goals
1.291.68
Shots
12.815.1
Possession
52.1%59.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: henan FC Jiuzu Dukang's last-five shots average is above their season average. Alongside it: beijing Guoan's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Beijing Guoan have a visible away split

moderate

Beijing Guoan's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.73 corners/matchCornersHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Beijing Guoan● 5.88 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricHenan FC Jiuzu DukangBeijing GuoanBaseline
Corners5.73 corners/match5.88 corners/match4.98 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Beijing Guoan in 8 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang26 matchesBeijing Guoan26 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.88 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.27 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals14/13▲ 1.68 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 15.1 shots/match
4.15 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 5.38 shots/match
52.1%Possession26/26● 59.2%
5.73 corners/matchCorners26/26● 5.88 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls25/2612.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang
1Draws
1Beijing Guoan
Beijing Guoan — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League1–2
Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Beijing Guoan · Super League2–0
Beijing Guoan — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League1–0
Beijing Guoan — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League1–1
Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Beijing Guoan · Super League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness49 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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