Super League · 2026

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger · Super League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.271.38
Expected goals
1.291.24
Shots
12.811.1
Possession
52.1%43.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: henan FC Jiuzu Dukang's last-five shots average is above their season average. Alongside it: henan FC Jiuzu Dukang's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang have a visible home split

moderate

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Tianjin Jinmen Tiger11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHenan FC Jiuzu DukangTianjin Jinmen TigerBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match11.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Tianjin Jinmen Tiger in 4 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang26 matchesTianjin Jinmen Tiger26 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.23 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals14/171.24 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots26/2611.1 shots/match
4.15 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.77 shots/match
52.1% ●Possession26/2643.2%
5.73 corners/match ●Corners26/264.5 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls25/2610.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang
0Draws
4Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League1–2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League1–0
Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Tianjin Jinmen Tiger · Super League3–4
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League1–0
Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Tianjin Jinmen Tiger · Super League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness34 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 16 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC · analysis-v4

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