Super League · 2026

Chengdu Rongcheng vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger · Super League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.961.38
Expected goals
2.221.24
Shots
15.311.1
Possession
55.3%43.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: tianjin Jinmen Tiger's last-five shots average is above their season average. Alongside it: chengdu Rongcheng have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match11.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsChengdu Rongcheng · Tianjin Jinmen Tiger11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricChengdu RongchengTianjin Jinmen TigerBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match11.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Chengdu Rongcheng have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.3% ●PossessionChengdu Rongcheng · Tianjin Jinmen Tiger43.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricChengdu RongchengTianjin Jinmen TigerBaseline
Possession55.3%43.2%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chengdu Rongcheng favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Tianjin Jinmen Tiger in 1 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chengdu Rongcheng26 matchesTianjin Jinmen Tiger26 matches
1.96 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.38 goals/match
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.23 goals/match
2.22 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/171.24 xG/match
15.3 shots/match ▲Shots26/2611.1 shots/match
5.08 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.77 shots/match
55.3% ●Possession26/2643.2%
6.38 corners/match ●Corners26/264.5 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls26/2610.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Chengdu Rongcheng
0Draws
2Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League1–2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League2–1
Chengdu Rongcheng — Tianjin Jinmen Tiger · Super League1–2
Chengdu Rongcheng — Tianjin Jinmen Tiger · Super League2–1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness34 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC · analysis-v4

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