PitchMath
Super League · 2026

Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Tieren FC · Super League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.261.31
Expected goals
1.351.43
Shots
12.911.9
Possession
44.6%52.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: qingdao Hainiu's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: liaoning Tieren FC have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Qingdao Hainiu's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Qingdao Hainiu's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.26 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.26 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Liaoning Tieren FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.6%PossessionQingdao Hainiu · Liaoning Tieren FC● 52.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricQingdao HainiuLiaoning Tieren FCBaseline
Possession44.6%52.9%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Qingdao Hainiu favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Liaoning Tieren FC in 7 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Qingdao Hainiu27 matchesLiaoning Tieren FC26 matches
1.26 goals/matchGoals scored27/261.31 goals/match
2.07 goals/matchGoals allowed27/26▲ 1.81 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals13/12▲ 1.43 xG/match
12.9 shots/match ▲Shots27/2611.9 shots/match
3.85 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/263.62 shots/match
44.6%Possession27/26● 52.9%
4.19 corners/matchCorners27/26● 4.35 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls27/2612.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Qingdao Hainiu
0Draws
1Liaoning Tieren FC
Liaoning Tieren FC — Qingdao Hainiu · Super League2–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsQingdao HainiuLiaoning Tieren FC
CompetitionSuper League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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