PitchMath
Super League · 2026

Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Tieren FC · Super League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.311.31
Expected goals
1.351.43
Shots
12.811.9
Possession
45%52.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: qingdao Hainiu's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Qingdao Hainiu's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Qingdao Hainiu's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.31 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Qingdao Hainiu favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Liaoning Tieren FC in 7 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Qingdao Hainiu26 matchesLiaoning Tieren FC26 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored26/261.31 goals/match
2.04 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.81 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals13/12▲ 1.43 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots26/2611.9 shots/match
3.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.62 shots/match
45%Possession26/26● 52.9%
4.27 corners/matchCorners26/26● 4.35 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Qingdao Hainiu
0Draws
1Liaoning Tieren FC
Liaoning Tieren FC — Qingdao Hainiu · Super League2–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness42 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsQingdao HainiuLiaoning Tieren FC
CompetitionSuper League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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