PitchMath
Super League · 2026

Liaoning Tieren FC vs Wuhan Three Towns · Super League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.311.5
Expected goals
1.431.23
Shots
11.913.8
Possession
52.9%46.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: wuhan Three Towns's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Wuhan Three Towns's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wuhan Three Towns's last-five shots average is above their season average.

21 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots21 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Liaoning Tieren FC favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Wuhan Three Towns in 6 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Liaoning Tieren FC26 matchesWuhan Three Towns26 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.81 goals/matchGoals allowed26/261.77 goals/match
1.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/131.23 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 13.8 shots/match
3.62 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 4.54 shots/match
52.9% ●Possession26/2646.8%
4.35 corners/matchCorners26/26● 4.88 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards4/53.4 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls26/2512.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Liaoning Tieren FC
1Draws
0Wuhan Three Towns
Wuhan Three Towns — Liaoning Tieren FC · Super League2–2

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLiaoning Tieren FCWuhan Three Towns
CompetitionSuper League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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