PitchMath
Super League · 2026

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs Qingdao Hainiu · Super League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.041.31
Expected goals
0.871.35
Shots
9.3512.8
Possession
48.5%45%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: qingdao Hainiu's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: chongqing Tonglianglong FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Qingdao Hainiu's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Qingdao Hainiu's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.31 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC have a visible home split

moderate

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.35 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match9.35 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Qingdao Hainiu in 6 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC26 matchesQingdao Hainiu26 matches
1.04 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.31 goals/match
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/262.04 goals/match
0.87 xG/matchExpected goals17/13▲ 1.35 xG/match
9.35 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 12.8 shots/match
3.27 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 3.88 shots/match
48.5% ●Possession26/2645%
4.08 corners/matchCorners26/26● 4.27 corners/match
1 card/matchCards4/42.25 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls26/2613.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
0Draws
0Qingdao Hainiu
Qingdao Hainiu — Chongqing Tonglianglong FC · Super League0–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness49 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChongqing Tonglianglong FCQingdao Hainiu
CompetitionSuper League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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