PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Fortaleza vs CRB · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

CRB

LWWLW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.111.5
Expected goals
1.251.43
Shots
14.418.5
Possession
48.7%50.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: CRB's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Alongside it: CRB's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

CRB have a visible away split

moderate

CRB's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season18.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match18.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

CRB show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

CRB's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsFortaleza · CRB18.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFortalezaCRBBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match18.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against13.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · CRB in 5 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza28 matchesCRB28 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.5 goals/match
0.82 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/281.43 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.43 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 18.5 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 6 shots/match
48.7%Possession27/27● 50.8%
5.48 corners/match ●Corners27/275.11 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls27/2712.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fortaleza
1Draws
0CRB
CRB — Fortaleza · Serie B1–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness27 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortalezaCRB
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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