PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Ceará 2–0 Ponte Preta · Serie B

Ceará

LDDLW
2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 2–0.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Ponte Preta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.71 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Ceará
2Draws
1Ponte Preta
Ceará — Ponte Preta · Serie B2–0
Ponte Preta — Ceará · Serie B1–1
Ceará — Ponte Preta · Serie B1–0
Ponte Preta — Ceará · Serie B3–1
Ceará — Ponte Preta · Serie B1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Ponte Preta in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará21 matchesPonte Preta21 matches
1.05 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/210.71 goals/match
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.95 goals/match
0.96 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/90.8 xG/match
13.1 shots/match ▲Shots8/910.8 shots/match
4.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/93.56 shots/match
49.3% ●Possession8/942.1%
6 corners/match ●Corners8/94.56 corners/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls8/917 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCearáPonte Preta
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headCeará — Ponte Preta
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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