PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Ceará 1–3 Cuiabá · Serie B

Ceará

DDLWW
1–3Full-time analysis

Cuiabá

DLLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Cuiabá won 1–3.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: ceara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Ceara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ceara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.05 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.05 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ceará
2Draws
0Cuiabá
Cuiabá — Ceará · Serie B0–2
Ceará — Cuiabá · Serie A1–1
Cuiabá — Ceará · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Cuiabá in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará22 matchesCuiabá22 matches
1.05 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/220.86 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 0.73 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals8/10▲ 1.29 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots8/10▲ 14 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target8/104.4 shots/match
49.3% ●Possession8/1049.1%
6 corners/matchCorners8/10● 6.1 corners/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls8/1014.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCearáCuiabá
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headCeará — Cuiabá
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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