PitchMath
Serie B · 2026Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

Sport Recife 2–2 Operário-PR · Serie B

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sport Recife and Operário-PR drew 2–2.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: operario-PR's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Operario-PR's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Operario-PR's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sport Recife
0Draws
2Operário-PR
Operário-PR — Sport Recife · Serie B2–1
Sport Recife — Operário-PR · Serie B1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sport Recife favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Operário-PR in 2 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sport Recife18 matchesOperário-PR18 matches
1.28 goals/matchGoals scored18/181.33 goals/match
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.11 goals/match
1.41 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/81.18 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots6/814 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target6/84.13 shots/match
53.7% ●Possession6/852.1%
6.33 corners/match ●Corners6/85.25 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls6/814 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jul 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSport RecifeOperário-PR
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headSport Recife — Operário-PR
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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