Serie B · 2026Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

Sport Recife 2–0 Náutico · Serie B

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sport Recife won 2–0.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: nautico Recife's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Nautico Recife's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nautico Recife's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sport Recife favored in 3 of 4 directional metrics · Náutico in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sport Recife11 matchesNáutico11 matches
1.36 goals/matchGoals scored11/111.36 goals/match
0.64 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111 goal/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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