PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Ceará 1–2 Operário-PR · Serie B

Ceará

DLLWL
1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Operário-PR won 1–2.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: operario-PR's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Operario-PR's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Operario-PR's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ceará
1Draws
0Operário-PR
Ceará — Operário-PR · Serie B2–1
Operário-PR — Ceará · Serie B0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Operário-PR in 1 · 8 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará11 matchesOperário-PR11 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored11/111.09 goals/match
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.27 goals/match
1.1 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.97 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 17.3 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 4.75 shots/match
48.3%Possession4/4● 56.3%
5.75 corners/matchCorners4/4● 7.25 corners/match
16.5 fouls/matchFouls4/411.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCearáOperário-PR
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headCeará — Operário-PR
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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