São Bernardo 1–1 América Mineiro — Full-Time Result

Serie B · 2026Sat, 16 May 2026, 19:00 UTCEstadio Primeiro de Maio

São Bernardo

LWWWW

1–1Full-time analysis

América Mineiro

LDLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

São Bernardo and América Mineiro drew 1–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: são Bernardo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for São Bernardo. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

São Bernardo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

São Bernardo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.2 goals/match	1.67 goals/match	1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for São Bernardo.

3.85 days ▲Rest daysSão Bernardo · America Mineiro7 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	São Bernardo	America Mineiro	Baseline
Rest days	3.85 days	7 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Bernardo favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · América Mineiro in 0 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Bernardo9 matchesAmérica Mineiro9 matches

1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/90.56 goals/match

0.78 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.89 goals/match

0.98 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.77 xG/match

12.5 shots/match ▲Shots4/411.5 shots/match

4 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/43.5 shots/match

48.5%Possession4/4● 57.5%

4.75 corners/matchCorners4/4● 6.25 corners/match

8.5 fouls/matchFouls4/414.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited

Season samples9 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4