PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Fortaleza 4–1 Goiás · Serie B

4–1Full-time analysis

Goiás

DWLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza won 4–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: goias's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Goias's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Goias's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fortaleza
1Draws
1Goiás
Fortaleza — Goiás · Serie A1–0
Goiás — Fortaleza · Serie A1–0
Goiás — Fortaleza · Serie A0–1
Fortaleza — Goiás · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Goiás in 0 · 8 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza7 matchesGoiás7 matches
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71 goal/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.71 goals/match
0.84 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.16 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots3/311.7 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/32 shots/match
44%Possession3/3● 59.7%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners3/35.33 corners/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls3/313.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortalezaGoiás
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headFortaleza — Goiás
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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