PitchMath
K League 1 · 2026

Ulsan HD vs Bucheon FC 1995 · K League 1

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.521.07
Expected goals
1.761.05
Shots
14.810
Possession
46.3%39.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: bucheon FC 1995's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: ulsan HD's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Bucheon FC 1995's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bucheon FC 1995's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ulsan HD show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Ulsan HD's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsUlsan HD · Bucheon FC 199510 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUlsan HDBucheon FC 1995Baseline
Shots14.8 shots/match10 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match15.1 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ulsan HD favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Bucheon FC 1995 in 1 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ulsan HD29 matchesBucheon FC 199529 matches
1.52 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291.07 goals/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed29/291.31 goals/match
1.76 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/141.05 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots22/2210 shots/match
5.09 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/223.32 shots/match
46.3% ●Possession22/2239.2%
4.36 corners/match ●Corners22/223.59 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls21/2112.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Ulsan HD
0Draws
0Bucheon FC 1995
Ulsan HD — Bucheon FC 1995 · K League 11–0
Bucheon FC 1995 — Ulsan HD · K League 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUlsan HDBucheon FC 1995
CompetitionK League 1
Head-to-headUlsan HD — Bucheon FC 1995
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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