PitchMath
K League 1 · 2026

Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Gwangju FC · K League 1

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.550.66
Expected goals
1.320.72
Shots
12.28.36
Possession
53.2%46%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: gwangju FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: daejeon Hana Citizen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Gwangju FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gwangju FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.66 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.66 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Daejeon Hana Citizen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Daejeon Hana Citizen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsDaejeon Hana Citizen · Gwangju FC8.36 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDaejeon Hana CitizenGwangju FCBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match8.36 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match15.4 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Daejeon Hana Citizen favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Gwangju FC in 0

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Daejeon Hana Citizen29 matchesGwangju FC29 matches
1.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/290.66 goals/match
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/292.1 goals/match
1.32 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/150.72 xG/match
12.2 shots/match ▲Shots22/228.36 shots/match
3.95 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/222.36 shots/match
53.2% ●Possession22/2246%
4.41 corners/match ●Corners22/223.14 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls20/2212.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Daejeon Hana Citizen
2Draws
1Gwangju FC
Daejeon Hana Citizen — Gwangju FC · K League 12–0
Gwangju FC — Daejeon Hana Citizen · K League 10–5
Gwangju FC — Daejeon Hana Citizen · K League 12–0
Gwangju FC — Daejeon Hana Citizen · K League 12–2
Daejeon Hana Citizen — Gwangju FC · K League 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDaejeon Hana CitizenGwangju FC
CompetitionK League 1
Head-to-headDaejeon Hana Citizen — Gwangju FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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