PitchMath
K League 1 · 2026

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Hana Citizen · K League 1

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
11.53
Expected goals
1.311.32
Shots
12.312.2
Possession
56%53.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: daejeon Citizen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Daejeon Citizen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Daejeon Citizen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.53 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gimcheon Sangmu FC favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Daejeon Hana Citizen in 3 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gimcheon Sangmu FC30 matchesDaejeon Hana Citizen30 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 1.53 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed30/301.23 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals17/171.32 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots22/2212.2 shots/match
3.68 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 3.95 shots/match
56% ●Possession22/2253.2%
4.77 corners/match ●Corners22/224.41 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls22/2011.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Gimcheon Sangmu FC
2Draws
2Daejeon Hana Citizen
Gimcheon Sangmu FC — Daejeon Hana Citizen · K League 13–2
Daejeon Hana Citizen — Gimcheon Sangmu FC · K League 11–1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC — Daejeon Hana Citizen · K League 10–3
Daejeon Hana Citizen — Gimcheon Sangmu FC · K League 12–1
Daejeon Hana Citizen — Gimcheon Sangmu FC · K League 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGimcheon Sangmu FCDaejeon Hana Citizen
CompetitionK League 1
Head-to-headGimcheon Sangmu FC — Daejeon Hana Citizen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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