PitchMath
K League 1 · 2026

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC · K League 1

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.030.7
Expected goals
1.050.72
Shots
108.36
Possession
39.2%46%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: gwangju FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Gwangju FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gwangju FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.7 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bucheon FC 1995 favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Gwangju FC in 0 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bucheon FC 199530 matchesGwangju FC30 matches
1.03 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/300.7 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/302.1 goals/match
1.05 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/150.72 xG/match
10 shots/match ▲Shots22/228.36 shots/match
3.32 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/222.36 shots/match
39.2%Possession22/22● 46%
3.59 corners/match ●Corners22/223.14 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls21/2212.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bucheon FC 1995
1Draws
2Gwangju FC
Bucheon FC 1995 — Gwangju FC · K League 10–0
Gwangju FC — Bucheon FC 1995 · K League 10–1
Bucheon FC 1995 — Gwangju FC · Korean FA Cup1–2
Gwangju FC — Bucheon FC 1995 · Korean FA Cup2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBucheon FC 1995Gwangju FC
CompetitionK League 1
Head-to-headBucheon FC 1995 — Gwangju FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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