PitchMath
K League 1 · 2026

Gangwon FC vs Incheon United · K League 1

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.231.26
Expected goals
1.471.64
Shots
13.811.7
Possession
52.4%53.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: gangwon FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Gangwon FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Gangwon FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.23 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Incheon United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Incheon United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsGangwon FC · Incheon United11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGangwon FCIncheon UnitedBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against9.33 shots/match9.62 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gangwon FC favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Incheon United in 3 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gangwon FC31 matchesIncheon United31 matches
1.23 goals/matchGoals scored31/311.26 goals/match
0.9 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/311.06 goals/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.64 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots21/2111.7 shots/match
4.43 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/214.14 shots/match
52.4%Possession21/21● 53.1%
5.9 corners/match ●Corners21/214.52 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls21/2110.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Gangwon FC
1Draws
0Incheon United
Gangwon FC — Incheon United · K League 10–0
Incheon United — Gangwon FC · K League 10–1
Incheon United — Gangwon FC · K League 11–3
Incheon United — Gangwon FC · K League 10–1
Gangwon FC — Incheon United · K League 14–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness9 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGangwon FCIncheon United
CompetitionK League 1
Head-to-headGangwon FC — Incheon United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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