PitchMath
K League 1 · 2026Seoul World Cup Stadium

FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC · K League 1

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.871
Expected goals
1.431.31
Shots
12.312.3
Possession
56.4%56%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: gimcheon Sangmu FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gimcheon Sangmu FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Seoul favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Gimcheon Sangmu FC in 0 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Seoul30 matchesGimcheon Sangmu FC30 matches
1.87 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301 goal/match
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.2 goals/match
1.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/171.31 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots22/2212.3 shots/match
4.05 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/223.68 shots/match
56.4% ●Possession22/2256%
5.09 corners/match ●Corners22/224.77 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls20/2212.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Seoul
1Draws
3Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC — FC Seoul · K League 10–0
FC Seoul — Gimcheon Sangmu FC · K League 12–3
FC Seoul — Gimcheon Sangmu FC · K League 11–3
Gimcheon Sangmu FC — FC Seoul · K League 16–2
Gimcheon Sangmu FC — FC Seoul · K League 10–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC SeoulGimcheon Sangmu FC
CompetitionK League 1
Head-to-headFC Seoul — Gimcheon Sangmu FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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