PitchMath
K League 1 · 2026

Gwangju FC vs Ulsan HD · K League 1

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.661.52
Expected goals
0.721.76
Shots
8.3614.8
Possession
46%46.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: gwangju FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: ulsan HD's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Gwangju FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gwangju FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.66 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.66 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ulsan HD show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Ulsan HD's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.36 shots/match ▲ShotsGwangju FC · Ulsan HD14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGwangju FCUlsan HDBaseline
Shots8.36 shots/match14.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gwangju FC favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Ulsan HD in 11

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gwangju FC29 matchesUlsan HD29 matches
0.66 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲ 1.52 goals/match
2.1 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 1.31 goals/match
0.72 xG/matchExpected goals15/13▲ 1.76 xG/match
8.36 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 14.8 shots/match
2.36 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 5.09 shots/match
46%Possession22/22● 46.3%
3.14 corners/matchCorners22/22● 4.36 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls22/2110.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Gwangju FC
1Draws
2Ulsan HD
Gwangju FC — Ulsan HD · K League 11–1
Ulsan HD — Gwangju FC · K League 15–1
Gwangju FC — Ulsan HD · K League 12–0
Ulsan HD — Gwangju FC · K League 12–0
Gwangju FC — Ulsan HD · Korean FA Cup1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGwangju FCUlsan HD
CompetitionK League 1
Head-to-headGwangju FC — Ulsan HD
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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