PitchMath
K League 1 · 2026

FC Seoul vs Jeju SK · K League 1

vsPre-match analysis

Jeju SK

LWDWD

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.91.17
Expected goals
1.431.1
Shots
12.312.8
Possession
56.4%45.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: FC Seoul have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: jeju SK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Jeju SK's recent record differs from the season

weak

Jeju SK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Seoul have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.4% ●PossessionFC Seoul · Jeju SK45.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC SeoulJeju SKBaseline
Possession56.4%45.2%51.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Seoul favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Jeju SK in 2 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Seoul29 matchesJeju SK29 matches
1.9 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291.17 goals/match
0.79 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/291 goal/match
1.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/121.1 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots22/2212.8 shots/match
4.05 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 4.27 shots/match
56.4% ●Possession22/2245.2%
5.09 corners/match ●Corners22/223.91 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls20/1912.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Seoul
0Draws
4Jeju SK
Jeju SK — FC Seoul · K League 12–1
Jeju SK — FC Seoul · K League 11–2
Jeju SK — FC Seoul · K League 13–2
FC Seoul — Jeju SK · K League 11–3
Jeju SK — FC Seoul · K League 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC SeoulJeju SK
CompetitionK League 1
Head-to-headFC Seoul — Jeju SK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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