PitchMath
K League 1 · 2026

FC Seoul 2–1 Jeju SK · K League 1

2–1Pre-match analysis

Jeju SK

WDWDW

Match at a glance

FC Seoul won 2–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: FC Seoul have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: jeju SK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Jeju SK's recent record differs from the season

weak

Jeju SK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Seoul have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.4% ●PossessionFC Seoul · Jeju SK45.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC SeoulJeju SKBaseline
Possession56.4%45.2%51.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Seoul
0Draws
4Jeju SK
Jeju SK — FC Seoul · K League 12–1
Jeju SK — FC Seoul · K League 11–2
Jeju SK — FC Seoul · K League 13–2
FC Seoul — Jeju SK · K League 11–3
Jeju SK — FC Seoul · K League 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Seoul favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Jeju SK in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Seoul30 matchesJeju SK30 matches
1.87 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301.17 goals/match
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/300.97 goals/match
1.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/121.1 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots22/2212.8 shots/match
4.05 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 4.27 shots/match
56.4% ●Possession22/2245.2%
5.09 corners/match ●Corners22/223.91 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls20/1912.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness20 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC SeoulJeju SK
CompetitionK League 1
Head-to-headFC Seoul — Jeju SK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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