Primera A · 2026Estadio Américo Montanini

Atlético Bucaramanga 3–0 Deportivo Pereira · Primera A

3–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Atlético Bucaramanga won 3–0.

Shots
205
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
1.290.11
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bucaramanga beat Deportivo Pereira 3–0. Recorded in this match (Bucaramanga – Deportivo Pereira): shots 20–5, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 1.29–0.11, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bucaramanga's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bucaramanga's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.67 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Deportivo Pereira show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Deportivo Pereira's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.1 shots/match ▲ShotsBucaramanga · Deportivo Pereira8.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBucaramangaDeportivo PereiraBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match8.67 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against9.11 shots/match16.2 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Bucaramanga have a visible home split

moderate

Bucaramanga's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots5 shotsAtlético Bucaramanga 20 shots, Deportivo Pereira 5 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotAtlético Bucaramanga 5 shots, Deportivo Pereira 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.29 xG0.11 xGAtlético Bucaramanga 1.29 xG, Deportivo Pereira 0.11 xG
  • Possession62%38%Atlético Bucaramanga 62%, Deportivo Pereira 38%
  • Corners8 corners1 cornerAtlético Bucaramanga 8 corners, Deportivo Pereira 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsAtlético Bucaramanga 11 fouls, Deportivo Pereira 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsAtlético Bucaramanga 2 cards, Deportivo Pereira 4 cards
  • Passes435 passes264 passesAtlético Bucaramanga 435 passes, Deportivo Pereira 264 passes
  • Pass accuracy84%77%Atlético Bucaramanga 84%, Deportivo Pereira 77%
  • Shots inside box11 shots2 shotsAtlético Bucaramanga 11 shots, Deportivo Pereira 2 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks0 blocksAtlético Bucaramanga 7 blocks, Deportivo Pereira 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save2 savesAtlético Bucaramanga 1 save, Deportivo Pereira 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideAtlético Bucaramanga 0 offsides, Deportivo Pereira 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Bucaramanga favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Pereira in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Bucaramanga9 matchesDeportivo Pereira9 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/90.89 goals/match
0.56 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/92.11 goals/match
1.02 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/60.68 xG/match
12.1 shots/match ▲Shots9/98.67 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/93.33 shots/match
53.2% ●Possession9/940.2%
4.22 corners/match ●Corners9/91.44 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls9/911.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 11 Mar 2026, 03:20 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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