Primera A · 2026Estadio La Independencia

Boyacá Chicó FC 0–1 Rionegro Águilas Doradas · Primera A

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Rionegro Águilas Doradas won 0–1.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.220.82
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Águilas Doradas beat Chico 1–0. Recorded in this match (Chico – Águilas Doradas): shots 11–11, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.22–0.82, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chico's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chico's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Águilas Doradas have a visible away split

weak

Águilas Doradas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Chico show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Chico's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.13 shots/match ▲ShotsChico · Águilas Doradas12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricChicoÁguilas DoradasBaseline
Shots9.13 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against14.5 shots/match12 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsBoyacá Chicó FC 11 shots, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsBoyacá Chicó FC 3 shots, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.22 xG0.82 xGBoyacá Chicó FC 0.22 xG, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 0.82 xG
  • Possession55%45%Boyacá Chicó FC 55%, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 45%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersBoyacá Chicó FC 3 corners, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsBoyacá Chicó FC 14 fouls, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsBoyacá Chicó FC 3 cards, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 2 cards
  • Passes386 passes313 passesBoyacá Chicó FC 386 passes, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 313 passes
  • Pass accuracy82%80%Boyacá Chicó FC 82%, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 80%
  • Shots inside box3 shots7 shotsBoyacá Chicó FC 3 shots, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 7 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks3 blocksBoyacá Chicó FC 4 blocks, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesBoyacá Chicó FC 2 saves, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside4 offsidesBoyacá Chicó FC 1 offside, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 4 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Boyacá Chicó FC favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Rionegro Águilas Doradas in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Boyacá Chicó FC8 matchesRionegro Águilas Doradas7 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/7▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed8/7▲ 1.14 goals/match
9.13 shots/matchShots8/7▲ 12.1 shots/match
2.88 shots/matchShots on target8/7▲ 3.71 shots/match
45.4%Possession8/7● 47.4%
2.75 corners/matchCorners8/7● 4.86 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/32.33 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls8/712 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 23 Feb 2026, 03:10 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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