PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Centenario

Deportivo Pereira 2–3 Junior Barranquilla · Primera A

2–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Junior Barranquilla won 2–3.

Shots
1312
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.451.58
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Junior beat Deportivo Pereira 3–2. Recorded in this match (Deportivo Pereira – Junior): shots 13–12, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.45–1.58, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Junior have recorded the higher season possession share.

36%PossessionDeportivo Pereira · Junior● 58.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo PereiraJuniorBaseline
Possession36%58.3%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Junior show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Junior's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.25 shots/match ▲ShotsDeportivo Pereira · Junior16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo PereiraJuniorBaseline
Shots9.25 shots/match16 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots12 shotsDeportivo Pereira 13 shots, Junior Barranquilla 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsDeportivo Pereira 5 shots, Junior Barranquilla 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.45 xG1.58 xGDeportivo Pereira 1.45 xG, Junior Barranquilla 1.58 xG
  • Possession37%63%Deportivo Pereira 37%, Junior Barranquilla 63%
  • Corners1 corner3 cornersDeportivo Pereira 1 corner, Junior Barranquilla 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsDeportivo Pereira 12 fouls, Junior Barranquilla 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards3 cardsDeportivo Pereira 5 cards, Junior Barranquilla 3 cards
  • Passes289 passes505 passesDeportivo Pereira 289 passes, Junior Barranquilla 505 passes
  • Pass accuracy85%89%Deportivo Pereira 85%, Junior Barranquilla 89%
  • Shots inside box7 shots7 shotsDeportivo Pereira 7 shots, Junior Barranquilla 7 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks2 blocksDeportivo Pereira 3 blocks, Junior Barranquilla 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesDeportivo Pereira 2 saves, Junior Barranquilla 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideDeportivo Pereira 1 offside, Junior Barranquilla 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Pereira favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Junior Barranquilla in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Pereira4 matchesJunior Barranquilla3 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored4/3▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/31.67 goals/match
9.25 shots/matchShots4/3▲ 16 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/3▲ 5.33 shots/match
36%Possession4/3● 58.3%
1.75 corners/matchCorners4/3● 6.33 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/311.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 3 Feb 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo PereiraJunior Barranquilla
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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