PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin

Millonarios 0–0 Independiente Medellín · Primera A

0–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Millonarios and Independiente Medellín drew 0–0.

Shots
1212
Shots on target
33
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Millonarios and Independiente Medellin drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Millonarios – Independiente Medellin): shots 12–12, shots on target 3–3, possession 51%–49%, corners 3–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Independiente Medellin show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Independiente Medellin's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsMillonarios · Independiente Medellin14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMillonariosIndependiente MedellinBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match14.5 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against15.3 shots/match8 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Independiente Medellin have a visible away split

weak

Independiente Medellin's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match14.5 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

4.5 corners/matchCornersMillonarios · Independiente Medellin● 4.75 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricMillonariosIndependiente MedellinBaseline
Corners4.5 corners/match4.75 corners/match3.88 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots12 shotsMillonarios 12 shots, Independiente Medellín 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsMillonarios 3 shots, Independiente Medellín 3 shots
  • Possession51%49%Millonarios 51%, Independiente Medellín 49%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersMillonarios 3 corners, Independiente Medellín 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsMillonarios 10 fouls, Independiente Medellín 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards3 cardsMillonarios 5 cards, Independiente Medellín 3 cards
  • Passes211 passes211 passesMillonarios 211 passes, Independiente Medellín 211 passes
  • Pass accuracy75%71%Millonarios 75%, Independiente Medellín 71%
  • Shots inside box7 shots6 shotsMillonarios 7 shots, Independiente Medellín 6 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks2 blocksMillonarios 2 blocks, Independiente Medellín 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves3 savesMillonarios 3 saves, Independiente Medellín 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesMillonarios 0 offsides, Independiente Medellín 2 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Millonarios favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Independiente Medellín in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Millonarios4 matchesIndependiente Medellín4 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/40.75 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.5 goals/match
12.5 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 14.5 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 4 shots/match
44.8%Possession4/4● 53.3%
4.5 corners/matchCorners4/4● 4.75 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls4/413 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 3 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsMillonariosIndependiente Medellín
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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