PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Olimpico Pascual Guerrero

América de Cali 1–1 Once Caldas · Primera A

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

América de Cali and Once Caldas drew 1–1.

Shots
204
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.610.54
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

America de Cali and Once Caldas drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (America de Cali – Once Caldas): shots 20–4, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.61–0.54, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Once Caldas.

4.99 days ▲Rest daysAmerica de Cali · Once Caldas4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAmerica de CaliOnce CaldasBaseline
Rest days4.99 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Once Caldas show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Once Caldas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsAmerica de Cali · Once Caldas12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAmerica de CaliOnce CaldasBaseline
Shots13 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against9 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots4 shotsAmérica de Cali 20 shots, Once Caldas 4 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsAmérica de Cali 7 shots, Once Caldas 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.61 xG0.54 xGAmérica de Cali 1.61 xG, Once Caldas 0.54 xG
  • Possession60%40%América de Cali 60%, Once Caldas 40%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerAmérica de Cali 4 corners, Once Caldas 1 corner
  • Fouls15 fouls9 foulsAmérica de Cali 15 fouls, Once Caldas 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards5 cardsAmérica de Cali 4 cards, Once Caldas 5 cards
  • Passes447 passes300 passesAmérica de Cali 447 passes, Once Caldas 300 passes
  • Pass accuracy84%71%América de Cali 84%, Once Caldas 71%
  • Shots inside box9 shots3 shotsAmérica de Cali 9 shots, Once Caldas 3 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks0 blocksAmérica de Cali 4 blocks, Once Caldas 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves6 savesAmérica de Cali 2 saves, Once Caldas 6 saves
  • Offsides10 offsides4 offsidesAmérica de Cali 10 offsides, Once Caldas 4 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América de Cali favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Once Caldas in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América de Cali3 matchesOnce Caldas3 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/31.33 goals/match
0.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/31 goal/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots3/312.3 shots/match
5.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 5.67 shots/match
56% ●Possession3/354.3%
2 corners/matchCorners3/3● 7.33 corners/match
17.7 fouls/matchFouls3/310 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 30 Jan 2026, 05:20 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsAmérica de CaliOnce Caldas
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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