PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Cincuentenario

Rionegro Águilas Doradas 2–1 Deportivo Cali · Primera A

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Rionegro Águilas Doradas won 2–1.

Shots
1711
Shots on target
25
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Águilas Doradas beat Deportivo Cali 2–1. Recorded in this match (Águilas Doradas – Deportivo Cali): shots 17–11, shots on target 2–5, possession 52%–48%, corners 8–7. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Águilas Doradas.

4 days ▲Rest daysÁguilas Doradas · Deportivo Cali4.9 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricÁguilas DoradasDeportivo CaliBaseline
Rest days4 days4.9 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Deportivo Cali have recorded the higher season possession share.

45%PossessionÁguilas Doradas · Deportivo Cali● 54.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricÁguilas DoradasDeportivo CaliBaseline
Possession45%54.7%45%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots11 shotsRionegro Águilas Doradas 17 shots, Deportivo Cali 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsRionegro Águilas Doradas 2 shots, Deportivo Cali 5 shots
  • Possession52%48%Rionegro Águilas Doradas 52%, Deportivo Cali 48%
  • Corners8 corners7 cornersRionegro Águilas Doradas 8 corners, Deportivo Cali 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsRionegro Águilas Doradas 10 fouls, Deportivo Cali 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsRionegro Águilas Doradas 2 cards, Deportivo Cali 4 cards
  • Passes311 passes293 passesRionegro Águilas Doradas 311 passes, Deportivo Cali 293 passes
  • Pass accuracy76%73%Rionegro Águilas Doradas 76%, Deportivo Cali 73%
  • Shots inside box10 shots4 shotsRionegro Águilas Doradas 10 shots, Deportivo Cali 4 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks2 blocksRionegro Águilas Doradas 5 blocks, Deportivo Cali 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves0 savesRionegro Águilas Doradas 4 saves, Deportivo Cali 0 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideRionegro Águilas Doradas 2 offsides, Deportivo Cali 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rionegro Águilas Doradas favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Deportivo Cali in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rionegro Águilas Doradas3 matchesDeportivo Cali3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.33 goals/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots3/39.33 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 3.67 shots/match
45%Possession3/3● 54.7%
5 corners/match ●Corners3/33.67 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls3/315.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 30 Jan 2026, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsRionegro Águilas DoradasDeportivo Cali
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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