PitchMath
Primera División · 2026

Deportes Concepción 1–0 Universidad de Concepción · Primera División

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Deportes Concepción won 1–0.

Shots
811
Shots on target
24
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Concepción beat Universidad de Concepcion 1–0. Recorded in this match (Concepción – Universidad de Concepcion): shots 8–11, shots on target 2–4, possession 38%–62%, corners 4–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Concepción's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Concepción's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots11 shotsDeportes Concepción 8 shots, Universidad de Concepción 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsDeportes Concepción 2 shots, Universidad de Concepción 4 shots
  • Possession38%62%Deportes Concepción 38%, Universidad de Concepción 62%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersDeportes Concepción 4 corners, Universidad de Concepción 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls14 foulsDeportes Concepción 13 fouls, Universidad de Concepción 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Deportes Concepción
0Draws
1Universidad de Concepción
Deportes Concepción — Universidad de Concepción · Primera División1–0
Universidad de Concepción — Deportes Concepción · Primera División2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportes Concepción favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Universidad de Concepción in 2 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportes Concepción18 matchesUniversidad de Concepción17 matches
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/170.76 goals/match
1.28 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/171.65 goals/match
0.72 xG/matchExpected goals4/6▲ 1.35 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots18/1712.9 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target18/17▲ 4.06 shots/match
46.1%Possession18/17● 50.2%
4.44 corners/matchCorners18/17● 5.06 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/44.25 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls18/1710.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples18 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 10 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportes ConcepciónUniversidad de Concepción
CompetitionPrimera División
Head-to-headDeportes Concepción — Universidad de Concepción
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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