PitchMath
Primera División · 2026Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas

Ñublense 2–2 Huachipato · Primera División

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Ñublense and Huachipato drew 2–2.

Shots
1913
Shots on target
64
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nublense and Huachipato drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Nublense – Huachipato): shots 19–13, shots on target 6–4, possession 58%–42%, corners 10–7. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Huachipato's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Huachipato's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.53 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots13 shotsÑublense 19 shots, Huachipato 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsÑublense 6 shots, Huachipato 4 shots
  • Possession58%42%Ñublense 58%, Huachipato 42%
  • Corners10 corners7 cornersÑublense 10 corners, Huachipato 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls5 foulsÑublense 9 fouls, Huachipato 5 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Ñublense
0Draws
3Huachipato
Ñublense — Huachipato · Primera División0–1
Huachipato — Ñublense · Primera División0–1
Huachipato — Ñublense · Primera División1–0
Ñublense — Huachipato · Primera División3–0
Ñublense — Huachipato · Primera División0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ñublense favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Huachipato in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ñublense15 matchesHuachipato15 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.53 goals/match
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.47 goals/match
12.3 shots/matchShots15/1512.3 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 4.8 shots/match
44.5%Possession15/15● 47.7%
4.67 corners/match ●Corners15/153.73 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls15/1510.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsÑublenseHuachipato
CompetitionPrimera División
Head-to-headÑublense — Huachipato
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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