PitchMath
Primera División · 2026Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Palestino 0–1 Deportes Concepción · Primera División

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Deportes Concepción won 0–1.

Shots
1910
Shots on target
23
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Concepción beat Palestino 1–0. Recorded in this match (Palestino – Concepción): shots 19–10, shots on target 2–3, possession 67%–33%, corners 4–0. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palestino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Palestino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Palestino have a visible home split

moderate

Palestino's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.7 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots10 shotsPalestino 19 shots, Deportes Concepción 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsPalestino 2 shots, Deportes Concepción 3 shots
  • Possession67%33%Palestino 67%, Deportes Concepción 33%
  • Corners4 corners0 cornersPalestino 4 corners, Deportes Concepción 0 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsPalestino 10 fouls, Deportes Concepción 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsPalestino 3 cards, Deportes Concepción 2 cards
  • Passes467 passes236 passesPalestino 467 passes, Deportes Concepción 236 passes
  • Pass accuracy79%62%Palestino 79%, Deportes Concepción 62%
  • Shots inside box14 shots8 shotsPalestino 14 shots, Deportes Concepción 8 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks2 blocksPalestino 6 blocks, Deportes Concepción 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves2 savesPalestino 2 saves, Deportes Concepción 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides3 offsidesPalestino 0 offsides, Deportes Concepción 3 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palestino favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Deportes Concepción in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palestino11 matchesDeportes Concepción11 matches
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/110.73 goals/match
1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 1.55 goals/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots11/1111.5 shots/match
4.45 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/112.82 shots/match
50.5% ●Possession11/1148.2%
4.45 corners/matchCorners11/11● 4.64 corners/match
4.4 cards/matchCards5/42.5 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls11/1110.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 24 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsPalestinoDeportes Concepción
CompetitionPrimera División
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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