PitchMath
Primera División · 2026Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas

Ñublense 2–2 Deportes La Serena · Primera División

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Ñublense and Deportes La Serena drew 2–2.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
53
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nublense and D. La Serena drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Nublense – D. La Serena): shots 16–10, shots on target 5–3, possession 54%–46%, corners 9–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

D. La Serena show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

D. La Serena's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.1 shots/match ▲ShotsNublense · D. La Serena9.71 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNublenseD. La SerenaBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match9.71 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against8.86 shots/match12.3 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.7 fouls/matchFoulsNublense · D. La Serena13.1 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricNublenseD. La SerenaBaseline
Fouls13.7 fouls/match13.1 fouls/match10.9 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsÑublense 16 shots, Deportes La Serena 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsÑublense 5 shots, Deportes La Serena 3 shots
  • Possession54%46%Ñublense 54%, Deportes La Serena 46%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersÑublense 9 corners, Deportes La Serena 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls8 foulsÑublense 11 fouls, Deportes La Serena 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsÑublense 3 cards, Deportes La Serena 4 cards
  • Passes395 passes369 passesÑublense 395 passes, Deportes La Serena 369 passes
  • Pass accuracy75%76%Ñublense 75%, Deportes La Serena 76%
  • Shots inside box11 shots3 shotsÑublense 11 shots, Deportes La Serena 3 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks2 blocksÑublense 6 blocks, Deportes La Serena 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save2 savesÑublense 1 save, Deportes La Serena 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideÑublense 0 offsides, Deportes La Serena 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Ñublense
1Draws
1Deportes La Serena
Deportes La Serena — Ñublense · Primera División1–1
Ñublense — Deportes La Serena · Primera División2–0
Deportes La Serena — Ñublense · Primera División3–0
Ñublense — Deportes La Serena · Primera División3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ñublense favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Deportes La Serena in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ñublense7 matchesDeportes La Serena7 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.29 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71 goal/match
12.1 shots/match ▲Shots7/79.71 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 3.71 shots/match
46%Possession7/7● 47.7%
6.14 corners/match ●Corners7/72.57 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls7/713.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 16 Mar 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsÑublenseDeportes La Serena
CompetitionPrimera División
Head-to-headÑublense — Deportes La Serena
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required