PitchMath
Primera División · 2026Estadio Ester Roa

Universidad de Concepción 2–1 Deportes Concepción · Primera División

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Universidad de Concepción won 2–1.

Shots
137
Shots on target
91
Expected goals
1.711.47
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Universidad de Concepcion beat Concepción 2–1. Recorded in this match (Universidad de Concepcion – Concepción): shots 13–7, shots on target 9–1, expected goals 1.71–1.47, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad de Concepcion show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Universidad de Concepcion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsUniversidad de Concepcion · Concepción11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUniversidad de ConcepcionConcepciónBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match11.3 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against9.33 shots/match13 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots7 shotsUniversidad de Concepción 13 shots, Deportes Concepción 7 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots1 shotUniversidad de Concepción 9 shots, Deportes Concepción 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.71 xG1.47 xGUniversidad de Concepción 1.71 xG, Deportes Concepción 1.47 xG
  • Possession49%51%Universidad de Concepción 49%, Deportes Concepción 51%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersUniversidad de Concepción 5 corners, Deportes Concepción 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls10 foulsUniversidad de Concepción 16 fouls, Deportes Concepción 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards2 cardsUniversidad de Concepción 5 cards, Deportes Concepción 2 cards
  • Passes339 passes351 passesUniversidad de Concepción 339 passes, Deportes Concepción 351 passes
  • Pass accuracy81%82%Universidad de Concepción 81%, Deportes Concepción 82%
  • Shots inside box7 shots4 shotsUniversidad de Concepción 7 shots, Deportes Concepción 4 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks3 blocksUniversidad de Concepción 3 blocks, Deportes Concepción 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves7 savesUniversidad de Concepción 0 saves, Deportes Concepción 7 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideUniversidad de Concepción 3 offsides, Deportes Concepción 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad de Concepción favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Deportes Concepción in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad de Concepción3 matchesDeportes Concepción3 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored3/30.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots3/311.3 shots/match
5.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/32.33 shots/match
51%Possession3/3● 52%
7.67 corners/match ●Corners3/34.67 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls3/39.67 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Feb 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsUniversidad de ConcepciónDeportes Concepción
CompetitionPrimera División
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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