PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026

Rosenborg BK vs IK Start · Eliteserien

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.821.09
Expected goals
1.541.36
Shots
13.414.5
Possession
52.7%43.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: rosenborg BK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: rosenborg BK have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Rosenborg BK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rosenborg BK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match1.82 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Rosenborg BK have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.7% ●PossessionRosenborg BK · IK Start43.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRosenborg BKIK StartBaseline
Possession52.7%43.2%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rosenborg BK favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · IK Start in 2 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rosenborg BK22 matchesIK Start22 matches
1.82 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.09 goals/match
1.41 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/222.18 goals/match
1.54 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/221.36 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots21/22▲ 14.5 shots/match
5.24 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/223.86 shots/match
52.7% ●Possession21/2243.2%
6.05 corners/match ●Corners21/224.27 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls21/2211.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Rosenborg BK
0Draws
0IK Start
IK Start — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien0–3

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRosenborg BKIK Start
CompetitionEliteserien
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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