PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026

IK Start vs Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.051.33
Expected goals
1.331.48
Shots
1412
Possession
42.6%51.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: lillestrom have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: start's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Start's recent record differs from the season

weak

Start's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match14 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lillestrom have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.6%PossessionStart · Lillestrom● 51.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricStartLillestromBaseline
Possession42.6%51.6%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: IK Start favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Lillestrøm SK in 7 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

IK Start21 matchesLillestrøm SK21 matches
1.05 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.33 goals/match
2.1 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.48 xG/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots21/2112 shots/match
3.81 shots/matchShots on target21/213.95 shots/match
42.6%Possession21/21● 51.6%
4.24 corners/matchCorners21/21● 5.24 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards5/32.33 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls21/2111 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0IK Start
0Draws
1Lillestrøm SK
Lillestrøm SK — IK Start · Eliteserien3–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness42 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIK StartLillestrøm SK
CompetitionEliteserien
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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