PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026

Fredrikstad FK vs Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.191.86
Expected goals
1.211.54
Shots
11.213.4
Possession
48%52.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: rosenborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Rosenborg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rosenborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match1.86 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fredrikstad FK favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Rosenborg BK in 9 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fredrikstad FK21 matchesRosenborg BK21 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.86 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.54 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 13.4 shots/match
3.76 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 5.24 shots/match
48%Possession21/21● 52.7%
4.19 corners/matchCorners21/21● 6.05 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls21/2112.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fredrikstad FK
2Draws
3Rosenborg BK
Rosenborg BK — Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien4–0
Fredrikstad FK — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien0–2
Rosenborg BK — Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien1–0
Fredrikstad FK — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien2–2
Rosenborg BK — Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness43 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFredrikstad FKRosenborg BK
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headFredrikstad FK — Rosenborg BK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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