Eliteserien · 2026

Fredrikstad FK vs Tromsø IL · Eliteserien

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.21.85
Expected goals
1.231.58
Shots
11.413.3
Possession
47.9%49.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: fredrikstad FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: fredrikstad FK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Fredrikstad FK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fredrikstad FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fredrikstad FK show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fredrikstad FK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsFredrikstad FK · Tromsø IL13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFredrikstad FKTromsø ILBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match11.3 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Tromsø IL have a visible away split

moderate

Tromsø IL's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fredrikstad FK favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Tromsø IL in 11 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fredrikstad FK20 matchesTromsø IL20 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.85 goals/match
1.55 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 1.35 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.58 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 13.3 shots/match
3.85 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 5.45 shots/match
47.9%Possession20/20● 49.8%
4.1 corners/matchCorners20/20● 5.3 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls20/2012.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fredrikstad FK
2Draws
3Tromsø IL
Tromsø IL — Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien4–0
Tromsø IL — Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien0–0
Fredrikstad FK — Tromsø IL · Eliteserien0–1
Tromsø IL — Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien3–0
Fredrikstad FK — Tromsø IL · Eliteserien0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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