PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026

Fredrikstad FK 1–1 Tromsø IL · Eliteserien

1–1Pre-match analysis

Match at a glance

Fredrikstad FK and Tromsø IL drew 1–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: fredrikstad FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: fredrikstad FK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Fredrikstad FK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fredrikstad FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fredrikstad FK show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fredrikstad FK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsFredrikstad FK · Tromsø IL13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFredrikstad FKTromsø ILBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match11 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Tromsø IL have a visible away split

moderate

Tromsø IL's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Fredrikstad FK
  1. Martin BorsheimG
  2. Fredrik HolméD
  3. Ulrik FredriksenD
  4. Sondre SørløkkD
  5. Daniel EidD
  6. Solomon OwusuD
  7. Samuel Leach HolmM
  8. Max NilssonM
  9. Liam WestF
  10. Bryan FiabemaF
  11. Henrik Langaas SkogvoldF
Tromsø IL
  1. Jakob HaugaardG
  2. Vetle SkjaervikD
  3. Leon HienD
  4. Alexander WarnerydD
  5. Isak VadebuD
  6. Sander InnværD
  7. David EdvardssonM
  8. Ruben JenssenM
  9. Morten BjørloM
  10. Troy NyhammerF
  11. Heine Asen LarsenF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fredrikstad FK
2Draws
3Tromsø IL
Tromsø IL — Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien4–0
Tromsø IL — Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien0–0
Fredrikstad FK — Tromsø IL · Eliteserien0–1
Tromsø IL — Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien3–0
Fredrikstad FK — Tromsø IL · Eliteserien0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fredrikstad FK favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Tromsø IL in 11 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fredrikstad FK21 matchesTromsø IL21 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.9 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.61 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 13.5 shots/match
3.76 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 5.71 shots/match
48%Possession21/21● 50.5%
4.19 corners/matchCorners21/21● 5.38 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls21/2112 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness21 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFredrikstad FKTromsø IL
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headFredrikstad FK — Tromsø IL
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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