PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026

Viking FK vs Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.551.2
Expected goals
2.051.23
Shots
15.611.4
Possession
51.4%47.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: fredrikstad FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Fredrikstad FK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fredrikstad FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Viking FK favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Fredrikstad FK in 0 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Viking FK20 matchesFredrikstad FK20 matches
2.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/201.2 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.55 goals/match
2.05 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/201.23 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots20/2011.4 shots/match
5.9 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/203.85 shots/match
51.4% ●Possession20/2047.9%
6.95 corners/match ●Corners20/204.1 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls20/2010.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Viking FK
1Draws
1Fredrikstad FK
Fredrikstad FK — Viking FK · Eliteserien1–2
Fredrikstad FK — Viking FK · Eliteserien0–1
Viking FK — Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien3–0
Fredrikstad FK — Viking FK · Eliteserien3–2
Viking FK — Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness34 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsViking FKFredrikstad FK
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headViking FK — Fredrikstad FK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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