Eliteserien · 2026

Tromsø IL vs KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.851.19
Expected goals
1.581.1
Shots
13.310.4
Possession
49.8%44.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: KFUM Oslo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: tromsø IL's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

KFUM Oslo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

KFUM Oslo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsTromsø IL · KFUM Oslo10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTromsø ILKFUM OsloBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match14.5 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

KFUM Oslo's recent record differs from the season

weak

KFUM Oslo's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.4 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Tromsø IL have a visible home split

moderate

Tromsø IL's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tromsø IL favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · KFUM Oslo in 1

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tromsø IL20 matchesKFUM Oslo21 matches
1.85 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/211.19 goals/match
1.35 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/211.67 goals/match
1.58 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/211.1 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots20/2110.4 shots/match
5.45 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/213.95 shots/match
49.8% ●Possession20/2144.2%
5.3 corners/match ●Corners20/214.05 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls20/2111.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Tromsø IL
1Draws
1KFUM Oslo
KFUM Oslo — Tromsø IL · Eliteserien0–0
Tromsø IL — KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien2–0
KFUM Oslo — Tromsø IL · Eliteserien1–3
KFUM Oslo — Tromsø IL · Eliteserien0–1
Tromsø IL — KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

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