PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026

KFUM Oslo 2–1 Vålerenga IF · Eliteserien

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

KFUM Oslo won 2–1.

Shots
1322
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
2.041.7
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

KFUM Oslo beat Vålerenga IF 2–1. Recorded in this match (KFUM Oslo – Vålerenga IF): shots 13–22, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 2.04–1.7, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

KFUM Oslo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

KFUM Oslo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vålerenga IF show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Vålerenga IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsKFUM Oslo · Vålerenga IF16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKFUM OsloVålerenga IFBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match16.5 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against14.9 shots/match14.6 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots22 shotsKFUM Oslo 13 shots, Vålerenga IF 22 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsKFUM Oslo 5 shots, Vålerenga IF 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.04 xG1.7 xGKFUM Oslo 2.04 xG, Vålerenga IF 1.7 xG
  • Possession38%62%KFUM Oslo 38%, Vålerenga IF 62%
  • Corners7 corners12 cornersKFUM Oslo 7 corners, Vålerenga IF 12 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls9 foulsKFUM Oslo 6 fouls, Vålerenga IF 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsKFUM Oslo 0 cards, Vålerenga IF 2 cards
  • Passes337 passes538 passesKFUM Oslo 337 passes, Vålerenga IF 538 passes
  • Pass accuracy68.3%79.6%KFUM Oslo 68.3%, Vålerenga IF 79.6%
  • Shots inside box9 shots16 shotsKFUM Oslo 9 shots, Vålerenga IF 16 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks4 blocksKFUM Oslo 3 blocks, Vålerenga IF 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves3 savesKFUM Oslo 4 saves, Vålerenga IF 3 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides1 offsideKFUM Oslo 4 offsides, Vålerenga IF 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 26′Aaron Kiil OlsenGoal · Vålerenga IF
  2. 31′Bilal NjieGoal · KFUM Oslo
  3. Half-time
  4. 53′Magnus WestergaardYellow card · Vålerenga IF
  5. 55′Bjorn Martin KristensenPenalty goal · KFUM Oslo
  6. 59′Ghayas ZahidYellow card · Vålerenga IF
  7. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 61′Vålerenga IF · 2 player changesMathias Grundetjern · Ambina Fidèle Brice
  • 72′Vålerenga IF · 1 player changeOdin Thiago Holm
  • 73′KFUM Oslo · 1 player changeRasmus Eggen Vinge
  • 74′KFUM Oslo · 1 player changeMagnus Grødem
  • 83′Vålerenga IF · 2 player changesGabriel Rajkovic · Ivan Näsberg
  • 83′KFUM Oslo · 2 player changesDavid Hickson Gyedu · Amin Nouri
  • 89′KFUM Oslo · 1 player changeRobin Rasch

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

KFUM Oslo3-4-2-1
  1. Emil OdegaardG
  2. Daniel SchneiderD
  3. Fredrik Tobias BerglieD
  4. Hakon Helland HosethD
  5. Jonas Lange HjorthD
  6. Håkon RøstenD
  7. Martin Tangen VinjorM
  8. Eirik Franke SaunesM
  9. Bilal NjieF
  10. Ola VistedF
  11. Bjorn Martin KristensenF

Substitutes

  • Havar Jensen
  • Brage Skaret
  • Amin Nouri
  • Robin Rasch
  • Brage Tobiassen
  • Magnus Wolff Eikrem
  • Rasmus Eggen Vinge
  • Magnus Grødem
  • David Hickson Gyedu
Vålerenga IF4-4-2
  1. Oscar HedvallG
  2. Hakon SjatilD
  3. Aaron Kiil OlsenD
  4. Petter StrandD
  5. Sebastian JarlD
  6. Carl LangeM
  7. Ghayas ZahidM
  8. Dennis GjengaarM
  9. Lucas HarenM
  10. Magnus WestergaardF
  11. Ole Christian SaeterF

Substitutes

  • Sander Åke Andreas Lønning
  • Kolbeinn Finnsson
  • Ivan Näsberg
  • Odin Thiago Holm
  • Mathias Grundetjern
  • Ambina Fidèle Brice
  • Håvard Nielsen
  • Gabriel Rajkovic
  • Elbasan Rashani

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0KFUM Oslo
2Draws
1Vålerenga IF
Vålerenga IF — KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien2–2
Vålerenga IF — KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien1–1
KFUM Oslo — Vålerenga IF · Eliteserien0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KFUM Oslo favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Vålerenga IF in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KFUM Oslo22 matchesVålerenga IF22 matches
1.23 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 1.59 goals/match
1.64 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/222.05 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1.55 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 16.5 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 5.41 shots/match
43.9%Possession22/22● 50.1%
4.18 corners/matchCorners22/22● 7.05 corners/match
3.25 cards/matchCards8/43 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2212 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 12 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKFUM OsloVålerenga IF
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headKFUM Oslo — Vålerenga IF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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