PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026

Aalesunds FK 2–4 Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien

2–4Pre-match analysis

Match at a glance

Sarpsborg 08 won 2–4.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: aalesunds FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: aalesunds FK's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Aalesunds FK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Aalesunds FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.57 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Aalesunds FK have a visible home split

moderate

Aalesunds FK's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.4 shots/match15.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Aalesunds FK5-3-2
  1. Luca PodlechG
  2. Ólafur GuðmundssonD
  3. Kristoffer NessøD
  4. Uba CharlesD
  5. Emil EngqvistD
  6. Cheick Mbacke DiopD
  7. Endre Hjertager OsenbrochM
  8. Elias Kristoffersen HagenM
  9. Mathias ChristensenM
  10. Isak Gabriel SkotheimF
  11. Marcus Haagensen ReedF

Substitutes

  • Tor Erik Larsen
  • Jakob Nyland Örsahl
  • Ulrik Syversen
  • Philip Sandvik Aukland
  • Mathias Kristensen
  • Sander Erik Kartum
  • Tobias Leikanger
  • Paul Ngongo Iversen
  • Elias Heggland Myrlid
Sarpsborg 084-4-2
  1. Leander ØyG
  2. Bjorn UtvikD
  3. Peter ReinhardsenD
  4. Sigurd RostedD
  5. Eirik WichneD
  6. Sander ChristiansenM
  7. Sondre SörliM
  8. Noa WilliamsM
  9. Olaus SkarsemM
  10. Daniel KarlsbakkF
  11. Andreas HansenF

Substitutes

  • Jacob Pryts
  • Marius Lode
  • Luca Hoyland
  • Claus Niyukuri
  • Anders Hiim
  • Aimar Sher
  • Camil Mmaee
  • Bop Guèye
  • Victor Emanuel Halvorsen

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Aalesunds FK
0Draws
2Sarpsborg 08
Aalesunds FK — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien3–2
Sarpsborg 08 — Aalesunds FK · Eliteserien3–1
Aalesunds FK — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien1–3
Sarpsborg 08 — Aalesunds FK · Eliteserien1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Aalesunds FK favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Sarpsborg 08 in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Aalesunds FK21 matchesSarpsborg 0821 matches
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/211.14 goals/match
2.19 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.39 xG/matchExpected goals21/211.46 xG/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots21/2113 shots/match
5.05 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/214.38 shots/match
43.8%Possession21/21● 45.2%
5.05 corners/matchCorners21/21● 5.19 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls21/2110.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness23 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAalesunds FKSarpsborg 08
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headAalesunds FK — Sarpsborg 08
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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