PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026

Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.141.86
Expected goals
1.461.54
Shots
1313.4
Possession
45.2%52.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: rosenborg BK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Rosenborg BK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rosenborg BK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match1.86 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sarpsborg 08 favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Rosenborg BK in 5 · 6 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sarpsborg 0821 matchesRosenborg BK21 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.86 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed21/211.43 goals/match
1.46 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.54 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots21/2113.4 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 5.24 shots/match
45.2%Possession21/21● 52.7%
5.19 corners/matchCorners21/21● 6.05 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls21/2112.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Sarpsborg 08
2Draws
1Rosenborg BK
Rosenborg BK — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien2–1
Rosenborg BK — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien2–3
Sarpsborg 08 — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien2–2
Rosenborg BK — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien1–1
Sarpsborg 08 — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness30 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSarpsborg 08Rosenborg BK
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headSarpsborg 08 — Rosenborg BK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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