PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026

HamKam vs Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien

HamKam

LDLLL
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.381.86
Expected goals
1.091.54
Shots
9.8613.4
Possession
46.2%52.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: rosenborg BK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: hamKam's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Rosenborg BK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rosenborg BK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match1.86 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

HamKam show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

HamKam's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.86 shots/match ▲ShotsHamKam · Rosenborg BK13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHamKamRosenborg BKBaseline
Shots9.86 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against16.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: HamKam favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Rosenborg BK in 10 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

HamKam21 matchesRosenborg BK21 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.86 goals/match
2.1 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.54 xG/match
9.86 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 13.4 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 5.24 shots/match
46.2%Possession21/21● 52.7%
4.1 corners/matchCorners21/21● 6.05 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls21/2112.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1HamKam
0Draws
4Rosenborg BK
Rosenborg BK — HamKam · Eliteserien4–0
HamKam — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien4–0
Rosenborg BK — HamKam · Eliteserien2–0
HamKam — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien0–2
Rosenborg BK — HamKam · Eliteserien1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHamKamRosenborg BK
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headHamKam — Rosenborg BK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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