Eliteserien · 2026

Viking FK vs Tromsø IL · Eliteserien

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.551.86
Expected goals
2.051.61
Shots
15.613.5
Possession
49.7%50.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: viking FK's last-five shots average is above their season average. Alongside it: tromsø IL's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Viking FK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Viking FK's last-five shots average is above their season average.

19.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots19.8 shots/match15.6 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Tromsø IL have a visible away split

moderate

Tromsø IL's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Viking FK favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Tromsø IL in 3 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Viking FK22 matchesTromsø IL22 matches
2.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.86 goals/match
0.91 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.36 goals/match
2.05 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/211.61 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots22/2113.5 shots/match
5.95 shots/matchShots on target22/215.71 shots/match
49.7%Possession22/21● 50.5%
6.82 corners/match ●Corners22/215.38 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls22/2112 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Viking FK
2Draws
1Tromsø IL
Tromsø IL — Viking FK · Eliteserien1–3
Viking FK — Tromsø IL · Eliteserien4–4
Tromsø IL — Viking FK · Eliteserien2–2
Viking FK — Tromsø IL · Eliteserien2–1
Viking FK — Tromsø IL · Eliteserien3–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness16 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

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