PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026

IK Start 2–4 HamKam · Eliteserien

2–4Full-time analysis

HamKam

LDLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

HamKam won 2–4.

Shots
2317
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
22.84
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

HamKam beat IK Start 4–2. Recorded in this match (IK Start – HamKam): shots 23–17, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 2–2.84, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

IK Start's recent record differs from the season

moderate

IK Start's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

HamKam show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

HamKam's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsIK Start · HamKam10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIK StartHamKamBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match10.2 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against14.1 shots/match16.5 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots17 shotsIK Start 23 shots, HamKam 17 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsIK Start 5 shots, HamKam 7 shots
  • Expected goals2 xG2.84 xGIK Start 2 xG, HamKam 2.84 xG
  • Possession57%43%IK Start 57%, HamKam 43%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersIK Start 5 corners, HamKam 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsIK Start 10 fouls, HamKam 10 fouls
  • Passes525 passes420 passesIK Start 525 passes, HamKam 420 passes
  • Pass accuracy83.1%78.6%IK Start 83.1%, HamKam 78.6%
  • Shots inside box16 shots13 shotsIK Start 16 shots, HamKam 13 shots
  • Blocked shots8 blocks6 blocksIK Start 8 blocks, HamKam 6 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves3 savesIK Start 3 saves, HamKam 3 saves

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 36′Luc MaresPenalty goal · HamKam
  2. 43′John Olav NorheimGoal · IK Start
  3. Half-time
  4. 53′Loris MettlerGoal · HamKam
  5. 74′Mohamed OfkirGoal · HamKam
  6. 90′Mohamed OfkirGoal · HamKam
  7. 90′Erlend SegbergGoal · IK Start
  8. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 61′IK Start · 1 player changeNikolas Koutsakos
  • 62′IK Start · 1 player changeEirik Schulze
  • 69′HamKam · 2 player changesDavid Benjamin · Aksel Baran Potur
  • 73′HamKam · 1 player changeMohamed Ofkir
  • 75′IK Start · 2 player changesFredrik Palerud · Nikola Jojić
  • 82′HamKam · 1 player changeEthan Amundsen-Day
  • 84′IK Start · 1 player changeMarius Nordal

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

IK Start5-3-2
  1. Magnus Smelhus SjøengG
  2. Altin UjkaniD
  3. Sander Aske GranheimD
  4. John Olav NorheimD
  5. Deni DashaevD
  6. Erlend Dahl ReitanD
  7. Steve MvouéM
  8. Mikael UglandM
  9. Erlend SegbergM
  10. Jesper CorneliusF
  11. Hakon LorentzenF

Substitutes

  • Storm Strand-Kolbjörnsen
  • Fredrik Palerud
  • Johan Meyer
  • Eirik Schulze
  • Santino Samuyiwa
  • Filip Strømland Lien
  • Nikola Jojić
  • Nikolas Koutsakos
  • Marius Nordal
HamKam5-3-2
  1. Marcus SandbergG
  2. Martin GjoneD
  3. Aleksander AndresenD
  4. Snorre Strand NilsenD
  5. Fredrik SjolstadD
  6. João BarrosD
  7. Loris MettlerM
  8. Luc MaresM
  9. Patrick MetcalfeM
  10. Duarte MoreiraF
  11. Danilo Al-SaedF

Substitutes

  • Sander Østraat
  • Ethan Amundsen-Day
  • Halvor Rodolen Opsahl
  • William Osnes-Ringen
  • Viðar Ari Jónsson
  • Mohamed Ofkir
  • Aksel Baran Potur
  • Henrik Udahl
  • David Benjamin

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0IK Start
0Draws
1HamKam
HamKam — IK Start · Eliteserien2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: IK Start favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · HamKam in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

IK Start22 matchesHamKam22 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 1.5 goals/match
2.18 goals/matchGoals allowed22/222.09 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.17 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots22/2210.2 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target22/223.86 shots/match
43.2%Possession22/22● 46.1%
4.27 corners/match ●Corners22/224.09 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls22/2212.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIK StartHamKam
CompetitionEliteserien
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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