PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026

Molde FK vs IK Start · Eliteserien

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.11.05
Expected goals
1.781.33
Shots
14.614
Possession
59.4%42.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: molde FK have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: molde FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Molde FK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Molde FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match2.1 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Molde FK have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.4% ●PossessionMolde FK · IK Start42.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMolde FKIK StartBaseline
Possession59.4%42.6%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Molde FK favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · IK Start in 0 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Molde FK21 matchesIK Start21 matches
2.1 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/211.05 goals/match
1.52 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/212.1 goals/match
1.78 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/211.33 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots21/2114 shots/match
5.48 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/213.81 shots/match
59.4% ●Possession21/2142.6%
5.52 corners/match ●Corners21/214.24 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards4/53.2 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls21/2112 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Molde FK
1Draws
0IK Start
IK Start — Molde FK · Eliteserien1–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMolde FKIK Start
CompetitionEliteserien
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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