Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC

Sandefjord Fotball

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vsPre-match analysis

IK Start

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30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: IK Start's last-five shots average is above their season average. Alongside it: sandefjord Fotball have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

IK Start's recent record differs from the season

moderate

IK Start's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	18.2 shots/match	13.1 shots/match	13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sandefjord Fotball have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.6% ●PossessionSandefjord Fotball · IK Start42.2%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Sandefjord Fotball	IK Start	Baseline
Possession	50.6%	42.2%	49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sandefjord Fotball favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · IK Start in 7 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sandefjord Fotball17 matchesIK Start17 matches

0.88 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 0.94 goals/match

1.35 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/172.24 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.19 xG/match

14.1 shots/match ▲Shots17/1713.1 shots/match

4.12 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/173.59 shots/match

50.6% ●Possession17/1742.2%

5.65 corners/match ●Corners17/173.76 corners/match

12.4 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.4 fouls/match

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sandefjord Fotball59.4

IK Start3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sandefjord Fotball36.4

IK Start24.0

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sandefjord Fotball50.0

IK Start28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sandefjord Fotball59.4

IK Start84.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sandefjord Fotball78.1

IK Start64.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 56%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sandefjord Fotball65.6

IK Start3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sandefjord Fotball61.7

IK Start36.0

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches

35 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/143 days

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples17 / 17home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness43 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4