Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

IK Start

WLLLL

vsPre-match analysis

SK Brann

LLLWW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: SK Brann's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: SK Brann have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

SK Brann's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SK Brann's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	2 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

SK Brann have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.8%PossessionIK Start · SK Brann●57.9%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.1 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	IK Start	SK Brann	Baseline
Possession	40.8%	57.9%	49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0IK Start

0Draws

1SK Brann

12 Jul 2026Brann — Start · Eliteserien2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

IK Start favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · SK Brann in 9 · 4 too close

0.93 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/14▲2 goals/match

2.27 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/14▲1.57 goals/match

1.09 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 15/14▲1.64 xG/match

1.54 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 15/141.55 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/14▲12.8 shots/match

13.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/1414.1 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/14▲4.57 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/14▲4.21 shots/match

40.8%Possessionseason · 15/14●57.9%

3.47 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/14●6.29 corners/match

5.2 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/14▲4.86 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1411.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

7%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/14▲7%

73%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/14▲93%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

IK Start9.4

SK Brann84.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

IK Start13.5

SK Brann66.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

IK Start20.8

SK Brann46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

IK Start71.9

SK Brann9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

IK Start78.1

SK Brann40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 53%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

IK Start3.1

SK Brann78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

IK Start28.1

SK Brann58.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

IK Start15 matchesSK Brann14 matches

0.93 goals/matchGoals scored15/14▲2 goals/match

2.27 goals/matchGoals allowed15/14▲1.57 goals/match

1.09 xG/matchExpected goals15/14▲1.64 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShots15/14▲12.8 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target15/14▲4.57 shots/match

40.8%Possession15/14●57.9%

3.47 corners/matchCorners15/14●6.29 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

12.3 fouls/matchFouls15/1411.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

IK Start7 matchesSK Brann8 matches

0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/8▲2.38 goals/match

1.57 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/81.75 goals/match

1.34 xG/matchExpected goals7/8▲1.55 xG/match

13 shots/match▲Shots7/811.5 shots/match

3.14 shots/matchShots on target7/8▲4.63 shots/match

43.1%Possession7/8●52.1%

4.71 corners/matchCorners7/8●6.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls7/813.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

36 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/157 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples15 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness57 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4