PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026

KFUM Oslo 2–1 Aalesunds FK · Eliteserien

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

KFUM Oslo won 2–1.

Shots
918
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.481.44
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

KFUM Oslo beat Aalesunds FK 2–1. Recorded in this match (KFUM Oslo – Aalesunds FK): shots 9–18, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.48–1.44, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Aalesunds FK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Aalesunds FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.55 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Aalesunds FK have a visible away split

moderate

Aalesunds FK's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match15.7 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots18 shotsKFUM Oslo 9 shots, Aalesunds FK 18 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsKFUM Oslo 5 shots, Aalesunds FK 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.48 xG1.44 xGKFUM Oslo 1.48 xG, Aalesunds FK 1.44 xG
  • Possession39%61%KFUM Oslo 39%, Aalesunds FK 61%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersKFUM Oslo 6 corners, Aalesunds FK 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls15 foulsKFUM Oslo 10 fouls, Aalesunds FK 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card5 cardsKFUM Oslo 1 card, Aalesunds FK 5 cards
  • Passes352 passes555 passesKFUM Oslo 352 passes, Aalesunds FK 555 passes
  • Pass accuracy74.7%83.6%KFUM Oslo 74.7%, Aalesunds FK 83.6%
  • Shots inside box7 shots9 shotsKFUM Oslo 7 shots, Aalesunds FK 9 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks8 blocksKFUM Oslo 3 blocks, Aalesunds FK 8 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesKFUM Oslo 2 saves, Aalesunds FK 3 saves

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 5′Cheick Mbacke DiopYellow card · Aalesunds FK
  2. 6′Eirik Franke SaunesPenalty missed · KFUM Oslo
  3. 10′Bilal NjieGoal · KFUM Oslo
  4. 31′Sander Erik KartumYellow card · Aalesunds FK
  5. 39′Marcus Haagensen ReedGoal · Aalesunds FK
  6. 45′Hakon Helland HosethGoal · KFUM Oslo
  7. Half-time
  8. 53′Ólafur GuðmundssonYellow card · Aalesunds FK
  9. 60′Luca PodlechYellow card · Aalesunds FK
  10. 61′Daniel SchneiderYellow card · KFUM Oslo
  11. 77′Simen HaramYellow card · Aalesunds FK
  12. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 57′KFUM Oslo · 2 player changesDaniel Schneider · Ola Visted
  • 63′Aalesunds FK · 2 player changesStefano Vecchia · Jakob Nyland Örsahl
  • 71′KFUM Oslo · 2 player changesRasmus Eggen Vinge · Julian Bakkeli Gonstad
  • 73′Aalesunds FK · 2 player changesElias Heggland Myrlid · Simen Haram
  • 88′KFUM Oslo · 1 player changeBrage Tobiassen

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

KFUM Oslo
  1. Emil OdegaardG
  2. Fredrik Tobias BerglieD
  3. Brage SkaretD
  4. Hakon Helland HosethD
  5. Jonas Lange HjorthD
  6. Håkon RøstenD
  7. Bilal NjieM
  8. Eirik Franke SaunesM
  9. Martin Tangen VinjorF
  10. Bjorn Martin KristensenF
  11. David Hickson GyeduF
Aalesunds FK
  1. Luca PodlechG
  2. Marius AndresenD
  3. Ólafur GuðmundssonD
  4. Kristoffer NessøD
  5. Uba CharlesD
  6. Cheick Mbacke DiopD
  7. Isak Gabriel SkotheimM
  8. Elias Kristoffersen HagenM
  9. Mathias ChristensenM
  10. Sander Erik KartumF
  11. Marcus Haagensen ReedF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0KFUM Oslo
1Draws
0Aalesunds FK
Aalesunds FK — KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KFUM Oslo favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Aalesunds FK in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KFUM Oslo20 matchesAalesunds FK20 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.55 goals/match
1.7 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/202.25 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.4 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 15.7 shots/match
3.95 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 5.05 shots/match
44.3%Possession20/20● 44.4%
4.2 corners/matchCorners20/20● 5 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls20/2012.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKFUM OsloAalesunds FK
CompetitionEliteserien
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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