Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

KFUM Oslo

LWDLL

vsPre-match analysis

Aalesunds FK

DDDLD

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: KFUM Oslo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

KFUM Oslo's recent record differs from the season

weak

KFUM Oslo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0KFUM Oslo

1Draws

0Aalesunds FK

12 Apr 2026Aalesund — KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

KFUM Oslo favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Aalesunds FK in 5 · 2 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/14▲1.36 goals/match

1.62 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/142.07 goals/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/14▲1.18 xG/match

1.46 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 13/141.95 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/14▲14 shots/match

11.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 13/1415.9 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/14▲4.57 shots/match

4.69 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/146.29 shots/match

46.4%●Possessionseason · 13/1443.7%

4.15 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/14●4.5 corners/match

4.69 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/147.36 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1412.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

31%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/140%

69%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/14▲86%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

KFUM Oslo34.4

Aalesunds FK15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

KFUM Oslo19.8

Aalesunds FK62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

KFUM Oslo55.2

Aalesunds FK5.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

KFUM Oslo28.1

Aalesunds FK96.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

KFUM Oslo73.5

Aalesunds FK84.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

KFUM Oslo15.6

Aalesunds FK34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

KFUM Oslo32

Aalesunds FK64.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

KFUM Oslo13 matchesAalesunds FK14 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored13/14▲1.36 goals/match

1.62 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/142.07 goals/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goals13/14▲1.18 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShots13/14▲14 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target13/14▲4.57 shots/match

46.4%●Possession13/1443.7%

4.15 corners/matchCorners13/14●4.5 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCards4/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1412.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

KFUM Oslo7 matchesAalesunds FK7 matches

0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲1 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/72.14 goals/match

1.03 xG/match▲Expected goals7/70.94 xG/match

10 shots/matchShots7/7▲12 shots/match

3.57 shots/matchShots on target7/73.43 shots/match

45.9%●Possession7/740.6%

5.14 corners/match●Corners7/73.57 corners/match

—Cards2/0—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls7/710.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

57 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/135 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples13 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness57 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4